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Defense

The Signal's coverage of Defense stocks — sharp analysis on earnings, contracts, and market-moving catalysts.

AeroVironment: The Full-Stack Arsenal of the Drone Age
AVAV

AeroVironment: The Full-Stack Arsenal of the Drone Age

AeroVironment builds the small drones, the loitering munitions, and the laser drone-killers that define modern warfare — plus the AI that runs them. Shares sit ...

Aug 25, 20265 minutes
DRS Just Bought the Army's AI Brain. Here's Why That's a Moat.
DRS

DRS Just Bought the Army's AI Brain. Here's Why That's a Moat.

Leonardo DRS makes the electro-optical sensors, electronic-warfare systems, tactical radars, and naval power gear inside nearly every major U.S. weapon system —...

Aug 21, 20265 minutes
Forget the Killer Robots. BigBear.ai Is Betting Defense AI's Real Money Is in Decision Speed.
BBAI

Forget the Killer Robots. BigBear.ai Is Betting Defense AI's Real Money Is in Decision Speed.

BigBear.ai builds decision-intelligence software that fuses messy military and intelligence data so commanders can act faster — a rare pure-play on the "decisio...

Aug 20, 20266 minutes
The Navy Just Bet $22.9 Billion That RTX Can Build 17x More Tomahawks
RTX

The Navy Just Bet $22.9 Billion That RTX Can Build 17x More Tomahawks

The Navy handed Raytheon a $22.9 billion, seven-year contract to lift Tomahawk production from roughly 60 missiles a year to more than 1,000. The stock barely m...

Aug 18, 20264 min read
Two Yards, One Navy
HII

Two Yards, One Navy

HII crushed Q2 estimates, and the night before that print the Navy dropped $76.6 billion in submarine contract work on the duopoly. With a $57.3 billion backlog...

Aug 18, 20265 min read
The Spectrum and the Arsenal: L3Harris Is Quietly Becoming Defense's Compounding Franchise
LHX

The Spectrum and the Arsenal: L3Harris Is Quietly Becoming Defense's Compounding Franchise

L3Harris has re-engineered itself from a low-margin defense conglomerate into a compounding franchise: a 26.9% margin fortress in communications and spectrum do...

Aug 16, 20268 min read
AeroVironment's Switchblade Moat Is the Real Story — SCAR Is Just Noise
AVAV

AeroVironment's Switchblade Moat Is the Real Story — SCAR Is Just Noise

AeroVironment's stock has fallen more than half from its peak, dragged down by the SCAR space-contract termination, a $151 million impairment, and a securities ...

Aug 8, 20261 min read
Northrop Grumman Just Became the $3 Billion Chokepoint of Missile Defense
NOC

Northrop Grumman Just Became the $3 Billion Chokepoint of Missile Defense

On August 3, the Pentagon signed two seven-year framework agreements with Northrop Grumman totaling more than $3 billion — $2 billion for PAC-3 solid rocket mot...

Aug 5, 20261 min read
Howmet Is the Toll Booth on Every Jet Engine
HWM

Howmet Is the Toll Booth on Every Jet Engine

Howmet Aerospace doesn't build the planes — it owns the parts every engine needs. With a 65x trailing multiple, the market is paying up for a moat that only two...

Aug 1, 20261 min read
HII Just Crushed Earnings — America's Nuclear Navy Can't Build Ships Fast Enough
HII

HII Just Crushed Earnings — America's Nuclear Navy Can't Build Ships Fast Enough

Huntington Ingalls blew past Q2 2026 estimates with a 38% EPS beat as Newport News Shipbuilding revenue surged 15.3%. Backlog hit $57.3 billion, guidance went u...

Jul 31, 20264 minutes
Kratos Is Building the Pentagon's Drone Army — and Wall Street Is Still Pricing It Like a Parts Supplier
KTOS

Kratos Is Building the Pentagon's Drone Army — and Wall Street Is Still Pricing It Like a Parts Supplier

Kratos Defense (KTOS) sits at the center of the Pentagon's most significant procurement shift since the Cold War — from exquisite, $150M fighter jets to afforda...

Jul 31, 20266 minutes
Leidos's $48.4 Billion Backlog Is About to Accelerate — Iran Just Made Sure of It
LDOS

Leidos's $48.4 Billion Backlog Is About to Accelerate — Iran Just Made Sure of It

Iran's surprise ballistic missile attack on U.S. forces today shattered a fragile four-day ceasefire and sent a clear signal that the defense supercycle has no ...

Jul 29, 20261 min read
Raytheon's $289 Billion Backlog Proves the Iran War Supercycle Is Real
RTX

Raytheon's $289 Billion Backlog Proves the Iran War Supercycle Is Real

Raytheon Technologies reported a blockbuster Q2 with a record $289B backlog and raised full-year guidance, validating that the Iran war-driven defense supercycl...

Jul 28, 20261 min read
AeroVironment Just Landed the Pentagon's Biggest Counter-Drone Deal Ever — So Why Is the Stock at 52-Week Lows?
AVAV

AeroVironment Just Landed the Pentagon's Biggest Counter-Drone Deal Ever — So Why Is the Stock at 52-Week Lows?

AeroVironment won the Pentagon's largest-ever counter-UAS contract — $500M — and followed it up with a $186M Army delivery order. Revenue hit nearly $2B, backlo...

Jul 21, 20263 min read
Two Legs of the Nuclear Triad. One Company. Zero Competition. That's Northrop Grumman.
NOC

Two Legs of the Nuclear Triad. One Company. Zero Competition. That's Northrop Grumman.

Northrop Grumman (NOC) is the sole-source contractor on both the B-21 Raider stealth bomber (air leg) and the Sentinel ICBM (land leg) — two of the three legs o...

Jul 21, 20264 min read
GE Aerospace Isn't an Engine Maker. It's a Recurring Revenue Machine.
GE

GE Aerospace Isn't an Engine Maker. It's a Recurring Revenue Machine.

GE Aerospace carries $19.2 billion in deferred service revenue from power-by-the-hour maintenance contracts on 44,000+ engines — an installed base that generate...

Jul 19, 20261 min read
The Defense Supercycle Is Here. RTX Has $271 Billion Reasons to Care.
RTX

The Defense Supercycle Is Here. RTX Has $271 Billion Reasons to Care.

RTX (RTX) is sitting on a record $271 billion backlog — that's over three years of locked-in revenue — as NATO defense spending surges past $1.8 trillion in 202...

Jul 19, 20261 min read
Northrop Grumman Is Down 31% With a $95.6B Backlog — Something Doesn't Add Up
NOC

Northrop Grumman Is Down 31% With a $95.6B Backlog — Something Doesn't Add Up

Northrop Grumman (NOC) is down 31% from its 52-week high despite a record $95.6B backlog, sole-source franchises in B-21 Raider and Sentinel ICBM, and 85% EPS g...

Jul 14, 20261 min read
Everyone's Obsessed With AI. Axon Already Put It In Every Cop Car in America.
AXON

Everyone's Obsessed With AI. Axon Already Put It In Every Cop Car in America.

Axon Enterprise is down 38% from its ATH despite 33% revenue growth, 80%+ body camera market share, and an AI revolution in policing that's already deployed. He...

Jul 14, 20261 min read
The Biggest Munitions Ramp Since World War II Is Happening Right Now
LMT

The Biggest Munitions Ramp Since World War II Is Happening Right Now

Lockheed Martin's $193B backlog, sole-source dominance across air, land, sea, and space, and the biggest munitions production ramp since WWII make it a multi-ye...

Jul 12, 20261 min read
Kratos Is Getting Destroyed This Year — And That's Exactly Why You Should Pay Attention
KTOS

Kratos Is Getting Destroyed This Year — And That's Exactly Why You Should Pay Attention

Kratos Defense has been obliterated in 2026 — stock down 36% year-to-date, market cap under $10B despite a record $2.01B backlog and a $14.3B pipeline. But whil...

Jul 8, 20261 min read
Axon Isn’t a Taser Company Anymore — It’s a $129B AI Monopoly Hiding in Plain Sight
AXON

Axon Isn’t a Taser Company Anymore — It’s a $129B AI Monopoly Hiding in Plain Sight

Axon isn't a taser company anymore — it's an AI platform with a 72% body camera monopoly, $14.3B in contracted future revenue, and a Draft One AI product growin...

Jul 7, 20264 minutes
The $11.6B Defense Stock Hiding Inside Every Major Weapon System
DRS

The $11.6B Defense Stock Hiding Inside Every Major Weapon System

Leonardo DRS (DRS) is a $11.6B defense electronics pure-play. Their sensors, thermal imaging, and electronic warfare components go into virtually every U.S. mil...

Jul 5, 20263 min read
L3Harris Just Won $614M in New Contracts While Everyone Chased AI Stocks
LHX

L3Harris Just Won $614M in New Contracts While Everyone Chased AI Stocks

L3Harris (LHX) closed a $614M USSOCOM electronic warfare contract and delivered Air Force One while posting record backlogs. Forward PE of 22x and $2.7B in free...

Jul 2, 20261 min read
The Drone Company Trading at 65% Off Its Highs While the Pentagon Bets Its Future on Autonomous Combat
KTOS

The Drone Company Trading at 65% Off Its Highs While the Pentagon Bets Its Future on Autonomous Combat

Kratos Defense ($KTOS) is the behind-the-scenes force powering the Pentagon's autonomous drone revolution — XQ-58 Valkyrie, Mojave cruise missiles, and now Elro...

Jun 29, 20261 min read
RTX Just Crossed a Quarter-Trillion Market Cap — And the Defense Backlog Says It's Not Done
RTX

RTX Just Crossed a Quarter-Trillion Market Cap — And the Defense Backlog Says It's Not Done

Raytheon Technologies hit $251B market cap as its defense backlog swells to a record $271 billion. With NATO spending targets rising and Patriot interceptors in...

Jun 25, 20261 min read
Lockheed's $186B Secret Nobody's Talking About
LMT

Lockheed's $186B Secret Nobody's Talking About

Lockheed Martin quietly holds a $186B backlog, a 416-jet F-35 pipeline, and the West's only operational hypersonic weapon program. The stock trades at 16x forwa...

Jun 21, 20261 min read
Palantir Has $13.7B in Government Contracts, Revenue Doubled — and the Stock Is Down 24%. This Is the Trade.
PLTR

Palantir Has $13.7B in Government Contracts, Revenue Doubled — and the Stock Is Down 24%. This Is the Trade.

Palantir has $13.7B in multi-year contract ceilings, 20,000 Maven users across 5 combatant commands, and revenue that nearly doubled to $1.63B. The stock is dow...

Jun 18, 20264 min read
KTOS Is Down 29% While the Business Is Accelerating — The Valkyrie Drone Army Bet Nobody's Pricing In
KTOS

KTOS Is Down 29% While the Business Is Accelerating — The Valkyrie Drone Army Bet Nobody's Pricing In

Kratos Defense ($KTOS) is down 29% YTD to $56.15 despite $1.415B in TTM revenue (+22.6% YoY), a $2.01B backlog, and a string of massive new contracts from Space...

Jun 16, 20263 min read
The Pentagon's Drone Budget Just Exploded — These Four Companies Own the Receipts
KTOS

The Pentagon's Drone Budget Just Exploded — These Four Companies Own the Receipts

The US government is pouring billions into drone programs — Kratos, AeroVironment, Red Cat, and Ondas are the four names positioned to capture the wave. Multi-y...

Jun 11, 20267 min read
The Pentagon Just Gave Anduril $20 Billion — And Defense Tech Stocks Are Next
PLTR

The Pentagon Just Gave Anduril $20 Billion — And Defense Tech Stocks Are Next

Anduril lands a $20B Army enterprise contract with a counter-drone first task order as the Pentagon formalizes Palantir's Maven AI as a core military system wit...

Jun 7, 20261 min read
Applied Aerospace Just Dropped a $650M IPO — Here's What Investors Are Missing
AADX

Applied Aerospace Just Dropped a $650M IPO — Here's What Investors Are Missing

Applied Aerospace & Defense Corp (AADX) raised $650M in its IPO at a $3.5B valuation. Shares dipped 5% on day one despite 25% revenue growth. Is this a buying o...

Jun 6, 20261 min read
Ondas Inc. Just Became a Defense Powerhouse — $1B Raised, Revenue Up 605%, and It's Still Flying Under the Radar
ONDS

Ondas Inc. Just Became a Defense Powerhouse — $1B Raised, Revenue Up 605%, and It's Still Flying Under the Radar

Ondas Inc. (formerly Ondas Holdings) completed a stunning transformation over the past year — raising $1B in equity, acquiring five defense tech companies, land...

Jun 1, 20262 min read
BigBear.ai Stock Surges 20% as $60M Defense Contracts and Panama AI Deal Reshape the Narrative
BBAI

BigBear.ai Stock Surges 20% as $60M Defense Contracts and Panama AI Deal Reshape the Narrative

BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) shares surged 20% this week after the company reported Q1 earnings that beat revenue estimates, grew its contract backlog to $282 millio...

May 30, 20262 min read
Palantir Surges 10% as Dell's Blowout Earnings Validate AI Factory Partnership
PLTR

Palantir Surges 10% as Dell's Blowout Earnings Validate AI Factory Partnership

Palantir jumped 10% on May 29 after Dell's massive Q1 earnings beat validated the AI spending cycle. With US commercial revenue crossing 100% growth, Palantir's...

May 29, 20262 min read
Space Force Just Dropped $3.2 Billion on Golden Dome — The Biggest Missile Defense Play Since Star Wars
LMT

Space Force Just Dropped $3.2 Billion on Golden Dome — The Biggest Missile Defense Play Since Star Wars

The Space Force selected 12 contractors for the Golden Dome program — a $3.2B space-based missile interceptor initiative. Lockheed Martin, RTX, L3Harris, and No...

May 28, 20262 min read
Iran Just Threatened U.S. Tech Giants — Defense Stocks Are the Only Safe Haven
RTX

Iran Just Threatened U.S. Tech Giants — Defense Stocks Are the Only Safe Haven

Iran's IRGC issued a formal warning that American tech companies — including Nvidia, Apple, and cloud infrastructure providers — could become legitimate targets...

May 28, 20262 min read
Palantir Grew Revenue 85% and Raised Guidance — So Why Is PLTR Down 26% YTD?
PLTR

Palantir Grew Revenue 85% and Raised Guidance — So Why Is PLTR Down 26% YTD?

Palantir reported Q1 2026 with 85% YoY revenue growth to an estimated $1.4B+, ARR crossed $6.5B, and full-year guidance was raised to 71%. Adjusted operating ma...

May 28, 20262 min read
General Dynamics Just Dropped a Monster Earnings Beat — And Defense Spending Is About to Go Nuclear
GD

General Dynamics Just Dropped a Monster Earnings Beat — And Defense Spending Is About to Go Nuclear

General Dynamics ($GD) is firing on all cylinders — Q1 2026 earnings smashed estimates by 11%, Gulfstream is shipping record business jets, the Virginia-class s...

May 26, 20266 minutes
Kratos Is Quietly Building the Pentagon's Drone Army — $KTOS Is the Purest Defense AI Play
KTOS

Kratos Is Quietly Building the Pentagon's Drone Army — $KTOS Is the Purest Defense AI Play

Kratos Defense ($KTOS) is emerging as the Pentagon's go-to supplier for jet-powered drones and autonomous combat aircraft, with the BQM-177A target drone and Va...

May 26, 20263 minutes
Palantir vs The Pentagon: America's AI Darling Just Bit the Hand That Feeds It
PLTR

Palantir vs The Pentagon: America's AI Darling Just Bit the Hand That Feeds It

Axios reports Palantir is battling the Pentagon's DIA over a major intelligence contract, alleging wasteful procurement practices. The government's most-embedde...

May 25, 20264 minutes
Rheinmetall Is the Centerpiece of Europe's Rearmament — And It's Still Early
RNMBY

Rheinmetall Is the Centerpiece of Europe's Rearmament — And It's Still Early

Rheinmetall AG (OTCPK: RNMBY) is the single best-positioned company in the European defense rearmament cycle. $10.07B in revenue growing 28.8% YoY, $1.05B net i...

May 23, 20265 minutes
Axon Just Dropped a 34% Revenue Beat and the Market Punched It. That's Your Signal.
AXON

Axon Just Dropped a 34% Revenue Beat and the Market Punched It. That's Your Signal.

Axon Enterprise (AXON) reported a massive Q1 2026 earnings beat — $807M in revenue, 34% YoY growth, raised full-year outlook, and a Zacks upgrade to Strong Buy....

May 23, 20264 minutes
GE Aerospace Is the Sleeping Giant Nobody's Watching — Up 35% With Room to Run
GE

GE Aerospace Is the Sleeping Giant Nobody's Watching — Up 35% With Room to Run

GE Aerospace (GE) is up 35.7% in the last year but down 18% from its highs — and Barron's just called it 'unfairly punished.' With a $40B engine backlog, a new ...

May 22, 20265 minutes
RTX Just Dipped 18% From Its Highs. Here's Why That's Your Entry Point.
RTX

RTX Just Dipped 18% From Its Highs. Here's Why That's Your Entry Point.

RTX dropped 18% from its $214 high despite posting $90B revenue, $7.2B FCF, and a growing dividend. At 25x forward earnings with a 28% analyst upside and defens...

May 21, 20261 min read
Why AXON is the Ultimate Unkillable Portfolio Diversifier
AXON

Why AXON is the Ultimate Unkillable Portfolio Diversifier

Axon Enterprise (AXON) crossed $1.5B in ARR with 125% NRR and AI revenue exploding 700% YoY. At $386 — nearly 50% off highs — this defense-style AI monopoly is ...

May 21, 20261 min read
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