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$SPCX · NASDAQ

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

🇺🇸 Industrials Aerospace & Defense
$139.63
▲ 1.22%
Market Cap$1.83T
P/E (TTM)
52W Range$104.83 – $225.64
Volume116.9M
Beta

Key Statistics

Revenue$23.0B91.9%
Net Income$-8.9B
Gross Margin51.9%
Net Margin-35.7%
P/E Ratio
Forward P/E87.19
PEG Ratio
P/S Ratio79.8x

Financial Performance

EBITDA$5.9B
Free Cash Flow
Operating Margin-1.8%
ROE
Total Debt$39.7B
Total Cash$100.0B
Dividend Yield
EPS (TTM)$-1.10

The Signal Report

PREMIUM
Moat Rating
🛡️ Narrow Moat
★★★☆☆
Switching Costs ●●○○○
Intangible Assets ●●○○○
Network Effect ●●●●●
Cost Advantage ●●●●○
Efficient Scale ●●●●○
Confidence: Medium
Fair Value
$216.33
+54.9% upside
Based on 18 analyst targets
🤖 Pulse AI Analysis

SpaceX is a compelling long-term investment, exhibiting a Wide Moat underpinned by unparalleled technological innovation and strategic market positioning. Despite recent IPO volatility and significant near-term investments in AI and Starship, the company's robust revenue growth and substantial cash ...

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Recent Performance & Catalysts

Latest Earnings EPS N/A vs Est 0.16 on 2026-11-03, showing significant underperformance against expectations.
Revenue Growth Exceptional TTM revenue growth of 91.9%, indicating rapid market penetration and expansion across its operating segments.
Upcoming Catalysts:
  • Starlink profitability and subscriber growth
  • Successful Starship development and deployment for deep space missions
  • Further advancements and monetization of AI initiatives (xAI)
  • Resolution of lock-up expirations leading to increased float stability

Core Strengths & Moat Sources

Switching Costs: SpaceX benefits from high switching costs for its launch customers and Starlink subscribers. Businesses and governments deeply integrate launch services into long-term strategic planning, while Starlink users often rely on it for critical internet access in underserved areas, making re-platforming expensive and inconvenient.
Intangible Assets: The company possesses formidable intangible assets, primarily its proprietary reusable rocket technology and the unique manufacturing flywheel for its Falcon and Starship vehicles. This intellectual property provides a significant competitive advantage that is difficult for rivals to replicate.
Network Effects: Starlink demonstrates strong network effects; as more satellites are deployed and users connect, the system's efficiency, coverage, and data speeds improve, further attracting new subscribers and lowering the cost per user, thereby compounding its advantage.
Cost Advantage: SpaceX holds a decisive cost advantage in the launch market due to its pioneering reusable rocket technology. This reusability drastically reduces the marginal cost per launch compared to competitors, allowing for aggressive pricing and higher launch cadences.
Efficient Scale: The company's high launch cadence and extensive vertical integration across its Space, Connectivity, and AI segments create an efficient scale that competitors struggle to match. This allows for optimized resource allocation, streamlined production, and enhanced operational leverage.

Main Risks

  • High cash burn from Starship and AI investments impacting profitability.
  • Significant lock-up expiration events through June 2027 could introduce stock volatility.
  • Intense competition in satellite broadband and launch services markets.
  • Regulatory hurdles and potential delays in Starship development and deployment.

🐂 Bulls Say

  • Diverse revenue streams from Space, Connectivity (Starlink), and AI provide resilience.
  • Unmatched technological leadership in reusable rockets and satellite internet.
  • Massive market opportunity in underserved global broadband and space exploration.
  • Elon Musk's visionary leadership drives innovation and aggressive expansion.

🐻 Bears Say

  • Negative net income and operating margin indicate profitability challenges despite high revenue growth.
  • Significant capital expenditures for Starship and AI development could strain financial health.
  • The 88.15 forward P/E ratio suggests a highly optimistic valuation that may not be sustainable.
  • Exposure to geopolitical risks and technological failures could severely impact operations.

Financial Health

SpaceX maintains a robust balance sheet with a substantial cash position of $100.0B, significantly outweighing its $39.7B in debt. While the company is not yet profitable, this strong liquidity provides ample runway to fund its ambitious growth initiatives and weather potential downturns.

Analyst Note

Despite significant near-term investments and a negative net income, SpaceX's unparalleled technological moat and rapid revenue growth position it for substantial long-term value creation.

Business Strategy & Outlook

SpaceX's strategy focuses on vertical integration and technological innovation across its three core segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The long-term vision is to democratize access to space, provide global broadband internet via Starlink, and leverage AI for transformative applications, driving sustainable growth and market leadership.

P/E (TTM)
Forward P/E
87.19
PEG Ratio
Analyst Consensus
buy

Wall Street Consensus

buy
Mean Target$216.33+54.9%
High$450.00
Low$75.00
Strong Buy
6
Buy
22
Hold
5
Sell
2

Total Returns

1 Year-13.2%
5 Year+28.8%
10 Year+28.8%
Year to Date-13.2%

Company Profile

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It also provides launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and engages in the launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. Its com

SectorIndustrials
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Employees21,000
HeadquartersStarbase, TX
ExchangeNASDAQ
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Earnings & Revenue Forecast

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. reported earnings results for the periods shown below. 1 of the last 2 quarters have reported results.

2026/Q4 (Est) Forecast
Revenue Est $19.58B
EPS Est $0.14
2026/Q3 (Est) Forecast
Revenue Est $12.82B
2026-08 ✓ Beat
Revenue Actual $7.81B
EPS Actual $-0.09
EPS Forecast $-0.29
EPS Surprise +69.0%